Superwahljahr 2026: So stehen die Umfragen vor den Landtagswahlen in Ostdeutschland

Three Landtag elections are scheduled for September in eastern Germany. The German states of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Saxony-Anhalt, and Berlin will choose their parliaments. The AfD, a right-wing extremist party, could emerge as the strongest force in these elections. How do the parties perform in the polls, and which parties will fail to cross the five-percent threshold?

The Handelsblatt's poll tracker keeps you updated on the Landtag elections in 2026. The tool shows how the parties are currently doing in the polls and what that would mean for their representation in the state parliaments. The graphics are continuously updated and based on values from all poll institutes. The data is collected by the Handelsblatt from the Dawum platform.

How are the polls looking for the three September Landtag elections? In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Berlin, the Landtag is to be elected on September 20th. Two weeks earlier, on September 6th, is the election in Saxony-Anhalt. The AfD is currently leading by a wide margin over the CDU. The SPD is in the median, with seven percent above the five-percent threshold.

The Greens, BSW, and FDP are worried about entering the parliament. If several parties fail to enter the parliament, the AfD could achieve more than 40 percent for an absolute majority. The following graph shows in two scenarios, what the poll results could mean for the seat distribution in the Landtag. The 5-percent scenario shows how the seat distribution would look like if the smaller parties did not enter.

Instead of 43 percent of seats, the AfD would then have 49 percent of the parliament. In Berlin, the median is the SPD at 21 percent ahead of the CDU with 19 percent. Behind them follow the AfD (18 percent) and the Greens (16 percent). Who will govern from the Red City Hall in the future and which coalitions could form is still completely open.

The BSW and FDP would fail to cross the five-percent threshold according to the polls. These poll results would lead to the following seat distribution in the Abgeordnetenhaus. It is possible that in Berlin a coalition of three parties will have to be formed to gain a majority. In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the AfD is currently far ahead of the SPD.

Then follow the CDU and the SPD. The BSW is currently at five percent in the poll trend. The Greens would fail to cross the five-percent threshold based on the current stand. The seat distribution based on these polls would look like this. Elections have already been held this year in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg. Landtag elections in Rhineland-Palatinate and Baden-Württemberg In Rhineland-Palatinate, the CDU emerged as the strongest force with 31 percent ahead of the SPD (25.9 percent).

The CDU leader Gordon Schneider now leads the coalition together with the Social Democrats. The AfD came in third with 19.5 percent ahead of the Greens. The SPD, Free Voters, and FDP missed the entry into the Landtag. In the Landtag election in Baden-Württemberg on March 8th, the Greens and leader Cem Özdemir still lagged significantly behind: In mid-October, a survey had seen the CDU with a 14 percent lead, but on Thursday before the election, the first poll showed both parties equally.

After the election, the Greens and CDU formed a government, Özdemir was appointed as Minister President. More: "Missteps will not be forgotten in the digital space" – Candidates battle for their reputation This article was published on February 18, 2026. The article was extensively updated on August 28, 2026.