Democrats eye Republican-held Florida district

Democrats are targeting a Republican-held Florida district in anticipation of a potential blue wave, according to a new GQR poll. The poll, shared with Semafor, shows retired Army Brigadier Gen. Leela Gray trailing incumbent Republican Rep. Anna Paulina Luna by just 3 percentage points, with Gray at 44% and Luna at 47%. This statistical tie, within the 4.4-percentage-point margin of error, suggests the district could become competitive.

The Pinellas County seat, historically off-limits to Democrats due to Florida's rightward shift, has seen Luna become a polarizing figure among national Republicans. Despite Luna's 94% name ID and mixed approval ratings, Gray believes President Donald Trump's unfavorable ratings will work against the incumbent, as Trump polls at 45% favorable and 53% unfavorable in the district he won by 13 points in 2024.

Brief written by urgent.news from Semafor's own syndicated text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.