Victorian election 2026: Concern and scepticism among Labor MPs over new poll showing party trailing One Nation
Ben Carroll refuses to be drawn on latest opinion poll that puts Labor at all-time low of just 18%, behind One Nation on 21% and the Coalition on 33% Labor MPs are both sceptical and seriously concerned about a new poll ahead of the Victorian election showing the party trailing third behind One Nation, with its primary vote at an all-time low of just 18%. The DemosAU/PremierNational, first…
Victorian Labor MPs are expressing both skepticism and serious concern over a new opinion poll released by DemosAU/PremierNational ahead of the state election. The poll shows Labor's primary vote share at a historic low of just 18%, placing the party in third behind One Nation (21%) and the Coalition (33%). This represents a seven-point drop for Labor and a three-point increase for the Greens since September.
If the poll were to be replicated on election night, it could result in many contests being between the Liberals or Nationals and One Nation, leading to a "clear Coalition majority". DemosAU's head of research, George Hasanakos, emphasized that if this were to happen, One Nation would need to perform exceptionally well for there to be any chance of Labor winning.
Labor's campaign headquarters is treating the result as an "outlier," with some MPs questioning the party's strategy. The focus on crime as an issue, typical of the Coalition's strength, has also caused controversy within the caucus.
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