Former Ibope head says what he sees – and that polls don't show
Carlos Augusto Montenegro spent over four decades at the helm of Ibope, monitoring elections and helping to turn public opinion polls into one of the main barometers of Brazilian politics. Today, at 72 years old and retired from the sector, the businessman believes these barometers are having problems – and that institutes may be underestimating Flávio Bolsonaro's advantage over Lula.
Carlos Augusto Montenegro, former president of Ibope, believes that recent polls showing a tight race between Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula may be underestimating Bolsonaro's lead. Montenegro cites difficulties in interviewing right-leaning voters, violence in certain regions, and the first-round results as evidence that polls may not accurately reflect the electorate.
He attributes a structural trend of center-right growth in Brazil, fueled by negative evaluations of Lula's government and the left's failure to renew itself, as a reason for Bolsonaro's likely favoritism. Montenegro also notes that polls may not capture the silent electorate, who ultimately decide elections.
Written by urgent.news from Brazil Journal's report — not a translation of it. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
