Gerp Poll Has Flávio 52%, Lula 48% in Runoff
Gerp’s 13 October poll had Flávio ahead 55% to 45%; the new survey of 2,400 voters, taken 14 to 16 October, has him 52% to 48%. The post Gerp Poll Has Flávio 52%, Lula 48% in Runoff appeared first on The Rio Times .
The Gerp poll released on October 16, 2026, shows Flávio Bolsonaro with 52% of the valid votes compared to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's 48%. This poll, conducted by Gerp with a 2% margin of error, indicates a narrowing of the lead from 10 points in a previous survey on October 13 to 4 points. The runoff election is scheduled for October 25, 2026, with both candidates facing rejection by a significant portion of voters. The poll also reveals that 57% of respondents expect Flávio to win the runoff, regardless of their vote.
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