El Nino will peak in December: UN
"WMO forecasts indicate a near-100% likelihood that (El Niño) will persist through February 2027, potentially being one of the strongest since at least 1950," WMO Secretary General Celeste Saulo said in a statement released with the bulletin.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicts that this year's El Niño will intensify and peak in December, potentially being the strongest since at least 1950. The organization is nearly 100% certain that El Niño will continue until February 2027, with sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific expected to reach record highs.
This would be the highest since observations began, surpassing the previous record of 2.6°C set in 2015-2016. The forecasted temperature anomaly is significantly higher than the previous record of 2.6°C from November 2015 to January 2016. The unusually warm ocean conditions are drawing from the warmest we have ever measured, indicating there is more heat available to release.
El Niño is the warm phase of the naturally occurring El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle, influencing weather patterns worldwide and resulting in higher global temperatures and disrupted rainfall across large regions.
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