When will El Nino hit Texas? November and December winter weather forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth
The strongest El Nino on record is expected to bring much-needed rain to North Texas this winter.
North Texas has experienced a prolonged dry spell, with the Dallas-Fort Worth area facing 63 consecutive days without measurable rainfall. However, the region's weather is expected to shift due to the strengthening 2026 El Nino, which is anticipated to bring increased moisture to the southern United States. This El Nino is currently the most powerful on record, with scientists monitoring Pacific Ocean temperatures declaring a greater than 90% chance of it being a very strong event.
The 2026 El Nino has been developing since the summer and is now firmly established. Sea surface temperatures are projected to reach their peak by October or November. Forecasts suggest El Nino could persist through March or even May 2027. The Climate Prediction Center's latest three-month precipitation outlook indicates the southern US, including North Texas, will receive more rain and snow than usual as winter approaches.
Meteorological winter begins on December 1 and concludes in February. A more robust El Nino can heighten the likelihood of severe weather and heightened precipitation in the southern US, potentially leading to more rain or snow in North Texas this winter, contingent on temperature conditions.
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