AI plays sophisticated defense in a broken Washington

AI companies are currently employing a sophisticated defense strategy in Washington, reminding the government of a long-standing reality: they are not against regulation. This perspective traces back to the early days of consumer-facing chatbot AI, when public skepticism towards social media's lack of regulation created a cautious attitude.

The industry's response to this week's growing awareness of AI risks demonstrates a process of recursive self-improvement in lobbying tactics. Key to this approach is recognizing that shaping regulation to their liking is more effective than attempting to convince everyone that they are harmless. Since the release of ChatGPT nearly four years ago, AI enthusiasts have consistently emphasized the need to balance the benefits and risks of the technology.

Companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have established a presence in Washington, employing former high-ranking officials from both Democratic and Republican parties, and forming alliances with partisan kingmakers. Their strategic approach involves proposing various courses of action, endorsing certain state laws, and advocating for self-regulation in the meantime.

One significant lesson learned is that the industry can coexist with state-level regulations, which often prove more practical than seeking national standards in Washington. This strategy, known as "reverse federalism," allows AI companies to navigate the complex divides within the tech policy debate, which includes issues like antitrust protections, chip export controls, and the adequacy of existing consumer laws.

While consensus exists on certain aspects, such as the need for privacy and cybersecurity measures, there is disagreement on defining "safe" AI standards. The industry's messaging remains proactive, with AI companies ensuring they sound open to regulation and preparing for the challenges of a regulatory quagmire in Washington. Despite the obstacles, AI companies will continue to dominate the political landscape, with AI safety advocates, Democrats, and some Republicans pushing for legislation to draw attention during the midterm elections.

A notable gathering, the "Pro-Human Assembly," will feature speakers like Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Marsha Blackburn, and former White House adviser Steve Bannon. Although a bipartisan AI safety bill proposed by Sen. John Thune and others may face opposition from Democrats, it could still provide a glimmer of hope for regulatory action in the Senate.