Berlin's punitive measures unlikely to deter Putin: experts
Germany has announced punitive measures after publicly blaming Russia for an attempted airport drone attack. But a former diplomat, political and security analysts warn it will likely do little to deter the Kremlin.
Russian political scientists express doubt that Berlin's punitive measures against Russia will deter President Vladimir Putin. Dmitry Oreshkin describes Germany's latest actions as largely symbolic, while Boris Bondarev, a former diplomat, believes the measures may complicate Russian operations in Germany but not fundamentally alter Moscow's strategic calculus.
Oreshkin notes that the Kremlin is likely to restore the "Iron Curtain" between Russia and the West, using diplomatic and cultural measures as retaliation. However, German security policy expert Wolfgang Richter warns that the risk of escalation has increased in recent years and that future confrontations may involve diplomacy, culture, and potentially limiting diplomatic personnel in each other's capitals.
Bondarev suggests that the Kremlin's reaction could be unpredictable, possibly leading to high-profile retaliatory steps. German Foreign Minister Hans-Wolfgang Wiedemann indicated that the EU will discuss additional sanctions against Russia, including targeting the "shadow fleet," though European legal frameworks may pose challenges.
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