Which states do Trump's tariffs hit the hardest

Analysis of President Trump's trade actions since early 2025 reveals starkly varied estimated tariff burdens across U.S. states, ranging from California's $62.8 billion share to Wyoming's $107 million. The disparities impact local industries, from Michigan's auto sector to Virginia's aerospace industry. In total, California has absorbed the largest share of the estimated $342 billion, according to data from the National Taxpayers Union Foundation.

Michigan's $23.2 billion burden translates to an estimated $5,619 per household, the highest among states.

Delving deeper, the primary industries driving tariff costs illuminate local economic landscapes. Michigan's vehicle sector shoulders the brunt of tariffs, while Indiana and Ohio see auto parts as key targets. Minnesota leads in imports of toys and games, a source of tariff impact for its economy. Florida, conversely, grapples with tariffs on food, particularly imported winter produce.

However, a significant legal challenge looms. The Supreme Court overturned Trump's emergency-power tariffs in February, and importers are now seeking refunds for billions already paid. The June 2026 data incorporates tariffs collected, though some costs may ultimately be refunded. The administration is also exploring alternative tariff strategies.

The analysis, conducted by Axios, utilized state tariff estimates from Trade Partnership Worldwide, compiled by the National Taxpayers Union Foundation. Per-household equivalents are calculated using U.S. Census Bureau data from the American Community Survey. Ultimately, Trump's tariffs are international, with their economic ramifications manifesting at the local level for American communities.