Strong El Nino threatens Malaysia with severe dry spells, haze and extreme heat

Malaysia is bracing for severe dry spells, haze, and extreme heat as the El Nino phenomenon strengthens and is expected to persist into early next year, according to the Malaysian Meteorological Department. There is an 81% chance of El Nino reaching strong to extremely strong levels from October, with a 97% probability of it continuing into early next year.

The long-term weather outlook from August to January indicates below-average rainfall, particularly in the west coast, eastern and southern parts of the peninsula, central and western Sarawak, and eastern Sabah. This dry spell increases the risk of both localised and transboundary haze, especially if there is uncontrolled open burning.

Several areas are expected to record rainfall deficits exceeding 35% over three to six months, including Negeri Sembilan, Melaka, southern Pahang, Johor, and much of central and western Sarawak. The department has also warned of a heightened drought risk in parts of Sabah following prolonged periods of rainfall deficits.

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