Commentary: Complacency is the hidden risk in Singapore’s success

In recent weeks, strategic consultant Nicholas Fang has repeatedly warned of complacency as a threat to Singapore's future. However, it may be hard to fault Singaporeans for feeling this way. The country has enjoyed decades of peace and prosperity, leading to a sense of complacency among its people. Minister for Defence Chan Chun Sing recently highlighted this concern at a conference, stating that complacency could impair Singapore's ability to respond to emerging threats and navigate an increasingly uncertain geopolitical landscape.

Unlike previous generations who witnessed the challenges of Malaysia separation and early independence struggles, Singaporeans have grown up in a climate of relative peace and prosperity. This has made them less likely to prepare for potential disruptions, as they have grown accustomed to a functioning country that government officials are expected to fix any issues. This complacency poses a significant risk, especially in national defence.

National Service is a key pillar of Singapore's defence ecosystem, relying heavily on the commitment of its citizens. If stability has always been the norm, it is easy to believe that it will continue indefinitely. This complacency can also be seen in other areas, such as the economy. Despite disruptions to global trade and energy markets caused by the Iran war and US tariffs, Singapore's economic growth forecast for 2026 has been raised. This performance may mask the risks that Singapore faces.

To combat this complacency, Chan Chun Sing has outlined priorities for Singapore, including working with other countries, maintaining consistent policy-making, staying connected to the world, and remaining a reliable trade partner. However, these efforts may not be readily understood by the average Singaporean. To address the complacency threat at an individual level, constant and consistent communication from the government is crucial.

Government leaders must explain potential threats, the trade-offs required to overcome them, and the consequences of failing to do so in a relatable manner. This requires adept political communication and civic engagement, as well as maintaining high levels of trust with citizens.