Ed Case Fends Off Progressive Upset With Hawaii Victory: List of Winners

US Representative Ed Case of Hawaii defeated state Senator Jarrett Keohokalole in the Democratic primary, emerging victorious in a race that served as a clash between the moderate and progressive factions of the Democratic Party. Case, a 73-year-old incumbent, secured approximately 60% of the vote, compared to Keohokalole's about 36%.

Keohokalole, 43, advocated for fresh leadership, often criticizing Case's positions on immigration and election policies. The primary results are seen as a reflection of the party's stance ahead of the November general election. This primary was part of a series of contests this cycle involving progressive challengers against long-serving Democrats, sparking ongoing discussions about the party's future direction.

Keohokalole campaigned on a platform of generational change, calling for more aggressive action on affordability, healthcare, and national policy matters. He criticized Case for votes that alienated progressives, such as his support for President Trump's SAVE Act, and argued for a younger, confrontational approach. The incumbent highlighted his record of securing federal aid for Hawaii during the COVID-19 pandemic, addressing the Red Hill water crisis and the Maui wildfires.

Despite the challenge, Case enters the general election as the favored candidate, given Hawaii's 1st Congressional District's strong Democratic lean. The Cook Political Report rates the district as D+13, indicating a significant Democratic advantage. Prediction market Polymarket currently gives the Democratic Party a 95% chance of retaining the seat, with Republicans at around 6%. Case is now the Democratic nominee, benefiting from these favorable odds as the race progresses.