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China shifts from Africa’s top megaproject lender to a debt collector

Since the mid‑2000s, China has established itself as Africa’s principal bilateral financier for large infrastructure projects, including railways, bridges, dams and ports. But as the loans involved reach maturity, Beijing has transitioned from a net provider of funds to a net collector. Drawing on data from Boston University’s Global Development Policy Centre and its own calculations, Oxford…

China shifts from Africa’s top megaproject lender to a debt collector

China has transitioned from being Africa's leading bilateral lender for large infrastructure projects to a debt collector as loan commitments dwindle and repayments rise. Between 2016 and 2024, Chinese loan commitments to African governments fell from US$28.8 billion to US$2.1 billion, marking the lowest level in nearly two decades.

While the amount borrowed has decreased, the amount owed has increased, with Chinese lenders collecting US$22.1 billion in net repayments over the past five years. Economist Christian Franken of Oxford Economics Africa noted that Beijing now focuses on managing its existing loan book rather than expanding it. The shift is strategic, with China opting for selective projects in digital infrastructure, green energy, and industrial estates, funded by regional development banks.

Despite this retrenchment, China remains Africa's largest bilateral creditor, shaping outcomes through mechanisms like the G20 Common Framework. However, Ethiopia's restructuring process has stalled, and African governments are increasingly accessing Chinese finance on less concessional terms and with a stronger emphasis on project bankability.

Written by urgent.news from South China Morning Post's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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