Bad to worse? Europe’s relief over US midterms tempered by prospect of Trump backlash

Following a two-year period in which the transatlantic alliance appeared on the brink of collapse, the Democratic Party's landslide victory in the US midterm elections on Wednesday was met with relief in Europe. However, many acknowledged that the results would not immediately resolve the deep divisions in the Western coalition.

The Democratic Party's sweeping win served as a rebuke to former US President Donald Trump's two-year tenure, which saw him strain US-Ukraine relations, move closer to Russia, threaten to take control of Greenland, and impose tariffs on EU products. The EU also bore the brunt of Trump's economic policies, absorbing €127 billion in additional fossil fuels without gaining any energy.

Despite these concerns, the muted reaction from European officials reflected the extent of the relationship's deterioration since the start of last year. An EU diplomat noted that the Democratic Party's win did not bode well for the US's ability to act as a savior, due to Trump's radical approach to foreign policy and the two more years he has to disrupt the existing order.

Former US President Trump still commands control over US foreign policy and holds veto power over legislative proposals, which could exacerbate tensions with Europe. Experts warn that Trump could become more aggressive towards Europe, seeking scapegoats and potentially re-engaging with Russia, which would be detrimental to the EU.

While the "blue wave" may not lead to a major policy shift, observers cautioned that pressure for Europe to shoulder more defense costs and continue trade disputes remained high.