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Will ‘strategic stability’ with China go out the window if Trump loses the midterms?

US President Donald Trump is likely to continue on a path of trying to stabilise ties with Beijing – even if the Democrats flip the House of Representatives, according to analysts. But they said if the Republicans lost control of the House in this week’s midterm elections, the framework of “strategic stability” agreed to by Washington and Beijing could be put to the test. One Chinese academic…

Will ‘strategic stability’ with China go out the window if Trump loses the midterms?

Despite Democratic hopes of taking control of the US House of Representatives in the upcoming midterms, analysts believe that President Donald Trump is likely to maintain a strategic partnership with China. According to Ali Wyne, a senior research and advocacy adviser on US-China relations at the International Crisis Group, Trump's actions have shown little regard for congressional counsel on China, suggesting that the midterms would not alter his approach.

Meanwhile, Sun Chenghao from Tsinghua University's Centre for International Security and Strategy predicts that Trump might leverage negotiations with Beijing to showcase his governance skills and potentially benefit from increased procurement, investment, and market access. However, he also warns that the next Congress could scrutinize whether Trump is trading security restrictions for commercial gains, potentially increasing the political cost of any agreements reached with China.

Written by urgent.news from Reuters Business via SCMP's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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