Famous election predictor Allan Lichtman makes US midterm forecast
Prof Allan Lichtman , who rose to fame when he predicted the 2016 election of Donald Trump using his "13 keys" system but later suffered embarrassment when he chose Kamala Harris to win in 2024, is back with a prediction for the midterm elections. Prof Lichtman, of American University, developed his 13 keys system in 1981 with his collaborator, mathematician Vladimir Keilis-Borok, analysing…
Allan Lichtman, the creator of the 13 keys system for predicting US presidential elections, has issued a forecast for the upcoming midterm elections. Lichtman, from American University, initially predicted Trump's victory in 2016, but later faced criticism when he incorrectly predicted Kamala Harris would win in 2024. Now, Lichtman believes there is a greater than 90% chance Democrats will take control of the House of Representatives and a 70% chance they will reclaim the Senate.
He attributes the optimism to factors such as voter turnout, enthusiasm, and Democratic advantages in recent midterms. Lichtman also predicts Democrats will likely lead or even break even in governor races. In a notable turn of events, Lichtman previously forecasted that Kamala Harris would become president in 2024, but the prediction proved incorrect on election night.
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