Analysis: The Prabowo-Gibran government is clearly falling short

Two years into their five-year term, President Prabowo Subianto and Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka are facing a growing public backlash. Widespread protests and declining poll numbers indicate significant dissatisfaction with the administration's performance. At a recent cabinet meeting, ministers confidently presented several achievements, highlighting a free nutritious meal program as a major initiative, but acknowledging it was not yet perfect.

However, the public sentiment is far more critical. Demonstrations erupted across the country, with protesters demanding stronger forest and land fire management, increased protections for free expression, and an end to corruption and nepotism. The latest wave of protests culminated on Youth Pledge Day, with calls for the military and police to return to their constitutional duties and for a comprehensive audit of national projects.

Public trust in the administration has plummeted to 64.8 percent, while satisfaction has dropped to 55.3 percent. Support for Prabowo has also plummeted, from 34.9 percent in November 2025 to a mere 9.8 percent in October 2026. Experts have given the Red and White Cabinet an average performance rating of just 4.7 out of 10 and 2.9 out of 10 among policy experts.

The dissatisfaction is rooted in heavy tax burdens, strained household budgets, high commodity prices, and fragile labor protections.