Why even a strong El Niño does not guarantee a poor Indian monsoon
Seven Indian monsoons since 1950 have run into a moderate or strong El Niño. Of these, in five years, including 2026, monsoon rainfall levels were at least 10% lower than the long-term average. The IMD refers to this level as 'deficient’. The 2023 season was something of an exception with ‘below average’ rainfall. However, 1997 had ‘average’ rainfall
We haven't written up this one. The Hindu - Sci-Tech has the full story — the link below goes straight to it.