Europe’s Security Architecture Will Rest On NATO, The EU, And Ukraine — Expert

Europe's future security architecture after Russia's war against Ukraine concludes will primarily rely on the combined efforts of existing structures, including NATO, the EU, and a militarily robust Ukraine, according to GLOBSEC senior expert and former NATO Nuclear Policy Director Jim Stokes. In an interview with Ukrinform, Stokes explained that NATO will maintain its current form, while the EU will continue to play its role.

Although it remains uncertain whether Ukraine will join NATO, Stokes expressed his hope that it would, as even without membership, Ukraine will remain a highly capable military force in Europe and a valuable NATO partner. Stokes emphasized the necessity for European states to determine how best to engage with Russia, stressing that it is not about dividing responsibilities or spheres of influence, but rather about preventing conflict escalation in Europe and a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia.

He further proposed that Europe should directly engage with Russia to coexist in the future, as this issue should not be decided solely between Washington and Moscow. Stokes, an American who worked for the US defense department for many years, believes that despite rhetoric, the United States is still interested in NATO and has not distanced itself from it.

The US maintains a keen interest in avoiding conflict in Europe, particularly a direct clash between Russia and NATO. Stokes also affirmed that the US, including the current administration, remains committed to NATO and the collective defense of Ukraine. He expressed his support for any efforts that might help end the war, but emphasized that the conflict must conclude in a manner favorable to Ukraine.

Czech President Petr Pavel previously suggested that Europe should take a more active role in negotiations aimed at ending Russia's war against Ukraine, as the US does not necessarily represent its interests, and the absence of a unified European stance weakens the continent's capacity to influence future agreements.