One Nation might not win Victoria, but NSW is where the real fight is
NSW Labor has made it clear how much of a threat One Nation is to their future, but the federal government's inflation woes are only making things worse.
New South Wales Premier Chris Minns confidently stated that One Nation's leader, Mike Newman, will either become the premier or the opposition leader after the March 13 election. While the focus now is on One Nation's performance in the Victorian election, NSW will be a crucial battleground for the insurgent party in 2025. One Nation's best outcome in Victoria might only be to support a Coalition minority government, though Opposition Leader Jess Wilson could reach a majority.
Winning in Victoria would be a positive for One Nation, but the upcoming NSW election will determine their future. The latest Resolve Political Monitor NSW poll, in September, had Labor at 29%, One Nation at 25%, and the Coalition at 24%. The current Leader of the Opposition, Minns, has distanced himself from the unpopular Albanese government.
The NSW opposition is weak, with the Liberals potentially losing metropolitan seats to Labor, and the Nationals facing near wipeout. If One Nation becomes the official opposition in NSW, it would be a significant shock and realignment of the political system, affecting both the Liberal and Nationals federally. The country's disquiet continues to grow, with 61% of voters believing the country is on the wrong track.
Despite this, the government still leads on economic management, trusted by 32% of voters to ensure the economy works in the interests of everyday Australians.
Written by urgent.news from ABC News AU's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
