Schwarz-Rot in der Krise: Umfrage: Mehrheit rechnet mit vorzeitigem Ende der Koalition
Streit um die Reformen, den Haushalt sowie den Umgang mit Linke und AfD setzt der Koalition schwer zu. Bei den Wählern schwindet das Vertrauen in den Fortbestand des Bündnisses.
According to a recent YouGov survey, less than a quarter of Germans still believe the Union-SPD coalition will survive until the next Bundestag election in early 2029. The poll of 2,202 eligible voters commissioned by the Deutsche Presse-Agentur found that 23 percent are convinced the Merz-led coalition will complete the full five-year term.
However, 13 percent predict the coalition will fracture this year, while 44 percent expect it to end prematurely within the next two years. Twenty percent did not provide an answer. A majority of Union voters, 53 percent, anticipate early disintegration, compared to 32 percent of SPD supporters who believe the coalition will last until 2029.
Franziska Hoppermann, CDU General Secretary, does not anticipate any premature break in the coalition, as reported in the Munich "Abendzeitung." She emphasized that everyone is aware of their responsibility. Over the past 20 years, there have been no major social welfare reforms, and the budgetary situation is strained, while the security landscape is challenging.
However, positively, the economic forecast has been upgraded. Hoppermann stressed that what they do shows effect. Since the September state elections, marked by significant losses for the Union and SPD and substantial gains for the AfD, the coalition is in crisis. Divergences over the reform package and the handling of left-wing parties and the AfD are making it difficult for the alliance to stay together.
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