Israel: Netanjahu könnte die Wahl verlieren – und dennoch regieren
Laut allen Umfragen der vergangenen Monate verliert Israels Premier seine Mehrheit. Es gibt allerdings drei Szenarien, wie er dennoch an der Macht bleiben könnte.
On October 27th, Israel will be electing a new parliament, and according to recent polls, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's majority may be at risk. His party, Likud, is expected to secure only around 50 out of the 120 seats in the Knesset. The largest challenger is the "Gush Hasharon" coalition, led by former chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot, which brings together four Zionist parties.
While Yesh Atid, Eisenkot's party, might lag behind Netanyahu's Likud, it too fails to secure a majority. This outcome could benefit Netanyahu. Political scientist Ofer Kenig of the Israel Democracy Institute notes that "Netanyahu does not need to win; he only needs to avoid losing to anyone else." As acting Prime Minister, Netanyahu could remain in power until another government obtains the Knesset's confidence.
Even without a majority in the Knesset, Netanyahu could wield significant power. Scenario 1: Likud surprises on election night. The polls may underestimate the Likud. In that case, Netanyahu could still secure the required 61 mandates with the help of the ultra-Orthodox parties and the far-right settlement parties.
Written by urgent.news from Handelsblatt's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
