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Nigeria Decides 2027 and the Burden of Proof

Beneath the Surface By Dakuku Peterside A voter who has spent hours in a queue should not need to understand computer servers to believe that a ballot will be counted.

The 2027 Nigerian elections present an opportunity to reconsider the role of technology in the electoral process. While technological innovations like biometric checks, digital records, and artificial intelligence can improve transparency and accountability, they must not be mistaken for guarantees of integrity. The responsibility for errors and the consequences of failures must always lie with human oversight and accountability, even when those consequences manifest on a digital screen.

Nigeria's previous elections, marked by delays in uploading presidential results and a lack of readily available information, exposed the fragility of the relationship between technical capability and public confidence. Such incidents do not inherently prove electoral fraud, but they do raise questions about the transparency and reliability of the electoral process.

Citizens have a right to understand what went wrong, what was secured, and how to verify the records. A transparency mechanism should not become irrelevant merely because citizens need to consult it when issues arise.

Preparing for the 2027 elections, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) should prioritize clear communication and establish robust mechanisms for identifying and addressing errors. This includes explaining the intended tasks of AI systems, the data they will process, and the suppliers involved, along with specifying responsibility for errors before deployment. Public scrutiny should be allowed both before deployment, to influence decisions, and after failure, to address any shortcomings.

Likewise, effective communication during disruptions is crucial. Officials should be able to provide information about what is known, what remains uncertain, and when further updates will be provided. This approach helps prevent speculation and maintains credibility, even when operational problems occur. The goal is to foster informed judgment, rather than automatic suspicion or acceptance.

Independent testing of systems should be conducted under realistic operating conditions, such as power outages, poor connectivity, heavy demand, and inconsistent technical support. The results of these tests should be published, along with any corrective actions taken, without compromising sensitive information. This transparency would reassure the public that the electoral system is prepared for potential challenges.

Moreover, technology should be deployed in a manner that ensures elderly voters, people with disabilities, and those with biometric details that are difficult to capture are not disadvantaged. The electoral process should remain accessible to all, regardless of technological limitations. During the count, a traceable link must exist between the polling unit record, its published image, and the figures used in collation. If discrepancies arise, a functioning process must investigate and provide explanations.

While AI can assist in detecting irregularities, its authority must be firmly defined. Suspicious records flagged by AI should raise questions but not establish wrongdoing. Human judgment and established procedures should still govern decisions concerning registration, eligibility, and electoral results. Only with clear accountability and a solid foundation can the democratic process in Nigeria proceed smoothly in 2027.

Written by urgent.news from This Day's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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