Russia replaces its missiles as fast as it fires them, Ukrainian intelligence says. Its drone order this year tops 100,000

Ukraine's military intelligence, HUR, reports that Russia has up to 700 ballistic and several thousand cruise missiles in reserve, with an order for Geran-type drones exceeding 100,000 units. Despite Russian mass strikes, Ukraine anticipates Russian attacks on 60 infrastructure sites during the heating season. Russia is capable of firing up to 100 ballistic missiles a month while maintaining steady stock levels.

Their drone production is shifting towards more advanced jet drones that are harder to intercept. Russia currently produces 110 ballistic missiles a month, with 110 of them being Iskander-Ms, of which about 65 are produced monthly. The modernized Iskander is in development, boasting a projected range of 550 to 700 km. Russia also holds around 400 S-300PM and S-400 air defense missiles, adapted for ground target strikes, with about 40 produced monthly.

Production of the Kinzhal missile has been paused due to accuracy issues, redirecting resources to conventional ballistic missiles. About 80 Kh-101 cruise missiles are produced monthly, with the number exceeding that despite launch defects sending some batches back to factories. Russia possesses over 450 Kalibrs, manufacturing approximately 29 a month.

Due to effective Ukrainian anti-air defense, most new Kalibrs are reserved for strategic use and fleet equipping. Over 600 Oniks anti-ship missiles, upgraded for ground strikes, and more than 120 Zircons are held by Russia. Additionally, Ukraine notes Russia's assembly of 4,000 jet drones monthly, primarily Geran-4s and Geran-5s, which fly at 400 to 500 km/h.

Propeller-driven Geran-2s, used to wear down air defense and locate positions, amount to around 2,000 monthly. Russia is developing 500-km/h Geran-4 jet drones to outpace Ukraine's interceptors, and maintains a plan targeting 60 critical infrastructure sites in Ukraine this winter.