A partial win in Hamburg could help Milei in 2027, an analysis suggests
Argentina has slim chances of persuading the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea to halt the Sea Lion oil project north of the Falklands by invoking its sovereign rights, but it could secure a partial victory on environmental grounds that would help President Javier Milei ahead of the 2027 election, according to an analysis by an international law academic published on The Conversation.
An academic analysis suggests that Argentina may secure a partial victory in the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea over the Sea Lion oil project, ahead of President Javier Milei's 2027 election. While Argentina's chances of persuading the tribunal to halt the project by invoking its sovereign rights are slim, it could argue environmental grounds that could help Milei.
The tribunal's decision would not determine territorial ownership, but could order the UK to assess and share environmental risks, which would be a win for Argentina. The tribunal is scheduled to hold its hearing on November 10 and 11, with the UK participating and challenging sovereignty claims.
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