‘Clayface’ vs. ‘You Can See Everything’: The Box Office Matchup No One Saw Coming

In a surprising turn of events, A24's documentary "You Can See Everything" has outperformed expectations and earned the biggest opening for a documentary in 22 years. The Nathan Fielder/Lance Oppenheim film has already earned $20.8 million with a $2.6 million Tuesday gross. Analysts project the documentary will surpass $30 million by the end of its second weekend, expanding to approximately 2,600 nationwide locations.

For its $40 million budget, "Clayface" has a more modest opening weekend projection of $25-30 million, which would be a solid start for the body horror film. However, "You Can See Everything" is expected to vastly outperform this with at least $18 million in its second weekend, thanks to buzz surrounding the Elizabeth Holmes chronicle.

The closest comparison to "You Can See Everything's rapid rise is Sacha Baron Cohen's "Borat," which opened to $26.8 million from 837 screens in 2006. While "You Can See Everything" won't reach that level, its strong second weekend is almost assured, potentially taking the No. 1 spot from "Clayface" if it falters. Despite the success of "You Can See Everything," Warner Bros.'

"Clayface" still has a chance to thrive. If the film can build strong word of mouth and garner favorable reviews, it could coexist with the documentary. The horror film is praised for its genre pedigree, with a 74% Rotten Tomatoes score, and may attract crossover interest from "Resident Evil" fans. However, despite its critical acclaim, Laika's animated film "Wildwood" is expected to open to a weak $6-8 million, highlighting the challenges facing major stop-motion productions.