Editorial: Japan can no longer ignore young people's reluctance to marry

Recent surveys indicate a growing number of young people in Japan, particularly those aged 18-34, are reluctant to marry. Over 20% of both unmarried men and women expressed no intention of ever getting married, a first time both genders crossed the 20% mark. Among couples where the woman is under 35, the desired number of children dropped to an all-time low of 2.01.

The government aims for a desired fertility rate of 1.8, but this could fall as low as 1.44 if the survey's findings influence the calculation. The current actual fertility rate in 2025 is a concerning 1.14. While individual free will should be respected, the reality is that many wish to marry and have children but face obstacles such as high costs and lack of affordable housing.

Nonregular workers, often unable to secure stable employment, are more likely to remain unmarried. The government and businesses need to improve the employment environment, particularly by increasing regular jobs with secure conditions. Additionally, the soaring prices of condominiums and other urban housing costs pose a significant hurdle.

Even if the desired fertility rate is met, the situation remains dire. A declining birth rate would lead to a shrinking workforce and social security system contributors. To counteract labor shortages, enhancing productivity through AI and other means is crucial. Moreover, the current social security system, primarily designed for married couples with children, may not suffice as single individuals become more prevalent.

The government is slated to release a comprehensive population strategy by year-end, detailing future projections and measures. It must address the changing attitudes of young people in crafting effective countermeasures.