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Wall Street's AI Boom Just Reached a Dangerous Milestone. History Says the Winners Could Change.

Key PointsLarge-cap tech companies have been the biggest winners of the AI trade thus far.

The artificial intelligence (AI) boom on Wall Street has hit a critical turning point, with experts cautioning that the real winners might not be the companies investing heavily in AI infrastructure. During the internet's early days in the 1990s, telecom firms poured significant funds into constructing new fiber optic networks. While internet usage skyrocketed, the telecom industry overestimated the ROI, resulting in excessive infrastructure development and a subsequent drop in value.

Despite the initial setbacks, telecom stocks eventually rebounded, while the businesses that utilized the improved infrastructure reaped the benefits. A similar situation could unfold with AI. If costs decrease due to competition and technological advancements, companies that adopt AI into their operations—such as manufacturers, transportation firms, and other industrial enterprises—could emerge as the most attractive investments.

Funds like the Vanguard Technology ETF (VGT) or the Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF (FTEC) might still be solid choices, but investors should be mindful of the potential reversal of these booms. For core portfolio positions, the author suggests the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) and the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (VTI).

The State Street Industrials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) is recommended as a complementary investment with a modest allocation, particularly for those already heavily invested in technology.

Written by urgent.news from Motley Fool's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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