Republicans Eye Historic Minnesota Senate Upset as Democrats Slip
The GOP is pursuing its first Minnesota Senate win since 2002 as Democrats face fraud and immigration battles.
Republican Michele Tafoya and Democratic Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan are locked in a tight race for Minnesota's Senate seat, potentially marking a historic upset for Republicans. Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the contest from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic, noting Flanagan’s soft polling and the state’s uncertainty. Tafoya criticized Flanagan’s ties to Governor Tim Walz, while Flanagan argued that Tafoya would be a "rubber stamp" for Trump.
Both candidates engaged in sharp exchanges over fraud, immigration, and Trump’s influence. Flanagan received 411,853 votes in the primary, more than all Republican candidates combined, and remains confident. The race's tightness was evident in recent polls, with Flanagan leading by 3 points in a KSTP/SurveyUSA poll and 2.6 points in a RealClearPolitics average.
The controversy surrounding Democrats' handling of social services fraud and immigration enforcement has given Tafoya a central argument against Flanagan.
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