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Oman braces for wetter months: Is El Niño about to change the weather?

Muscat: Oman is facing the prospect of wetter-than-usual conditions in its northern regions and higher temperatures across the country in the coming months, with a strengthening El Niño weather pattern potentially influencing rainfall and increasing the risk of extreme weather. A seasonal outlook issued by the Civil Aviation Authority forecasts above-average rainfall across northern Oman in…

Oman is preparing for wetter months and higher temperatures as a strengthening El Niño weather pattern may influence rainfall and raise the risk of extreme conditions. The Civil Aviation Authority predicts above-average rainfall in northern Oman from October to November, with temperatures remaining above normal through December.

The National Multi-Hazard Early Warning Centre reports that El Niño is expected to peak in November and December and may remain strong through January and February. Coastal regions along the Arabian Sea are forecast to receive below-average rainfall in October. Historical climate records show that El Niño has significantly impacted Oman's rainfall patterns, with rainfall during El Niño periods averaging 20% above normal between September and November, rising to 31% between December and February and 54% between March and May.

The centre warns that these seasonal forecasts should not be interpreted as predictions of individual storms or rainfall events, highlighting the influence of other regional and global climate patterns.

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