The Stock Market Has Seen This Happen Only 2 Other Times in Over 150 Years, and History Has an Ominous Warning for Investors
Key PointsThe S&P 500 is entering the fifth year of its current bull market.
The stock market has witnessed such an occurrence only twice in more than 150 years, and history offers a cautionary tale for investors. The S&P 500 has risen nearly 120% over the past four years, driven by the AI boom. However, the bull market may be losing momentum, as only a few stocks are powering the index. Over a quarter of stocks in the S&P 500 are down 40% or more from their highs, and nearly 60% are below their 200-day moving average.
Renowned investors, like Michael Burry and Ray Dalio, have warned that the AI bubble could burst, comparing the current market to the dot-com bubble. The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio, currently above 40, its second-highest level, also suggests a potential market correction. While the urge to sell stocks might be strong, timing the market rarely proves successful.
Instead, staying invested through dollar-cost averaging into a broad market index ETF, like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, is the recommended approach. Legendary investor Peter Lynch emphasized that staying invested, regardless of timing, is crucial for long-term success.
Written by urgent.news from Motley Fool's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
This story
This is one outlet's version. Read the fullest account.