Las cinco regiones que crecerán por encima de la media nacional en 2026

In 2026, the regions that are expected to grow above the national average are those with a strong presence in the tourism sector and services. These include the Comunidad Valenciana, Madrid, Andalucía, and Murcia. The Comunidad Valenciana is projected to lead the growth this year with a 2.9% increase in GDP, buoyed by the effects of aid investments.

However, this acceleration is expected to wane, and by 2027, the growth of these regions is projected to slow down, with the Comunidad Valenciana growing by only 1.8%. Madrid and Andalucía are expected to grow by 2.8%, while Andalucía will lead with a 2.7% growth. Cataluña and Aragón will also grow by 2.6%, similar to the national average.

The four regions mentioned above will be the only ones to surpass the national average growth. Cataluña, which is the second-largest economy in the country, will benefit from a refuge effect due to the instability in other markets, particularly from the Eastern Mediterranean region. Additionally, private consumption and non-tourist service exports will support its growth.

Regions such as Galicia, Asturias, Cantabria, Navarra, and Aragón, which are closer to the coast, are also expected to experience an increase in tourist occupancy due to the rising prices and limitations in expansion. However, the industrial regions are expected to have a less favorable outlook due to the deteriorating international environment and rising energy costs, which are affecting exports and industrial production.

Navarra and the Basque Country are projected to grow by 2% and 2.2%, respectively, while Asturias and La Rioja will grow by 1.9%. In the coming year, 2027, the northern and industrial regions are expected to take on a more prominent role in driving GDP growth, driven by renewed impulses to production and exports, and the end of sector-specific adjustments.

If these projections hold, the Basque Country and Navarra will lead the growth in 2027, with an increase of 2.4% for both, followed by Cataluña and Galicia with 2.3%, Aragón, Cantabria, and La Rioja with 2.2%, and Madrid, Andalucía, and Asturias with 2.1%.