Can Democrats win the Senate? Here are some pathways
Let's get into the map and math.
Democrats now have a genuine opportunity to gain control of the U.S. Senate, a feat that seemed unlikely a year ago, according to betting markets. The Senate currently holds 53 Republican members, with the Democratic caucus consisting of 47 senators, including two independents, Angus King and Bernie Sanders. To achieve a majority of 51 seats, Democrats must secure a net gain of four Senate seats.
To outline the potential pathways for Democrats to win the Senate, three scenarios have been proposed. The first path, the Democrats-do-it scenario, envisions Democrats reaching a 51-seat majority, securing a slim but decisive victory. The second scenario, the Democrats tsunami path, imagines Democrats amassing a 54-seat majority, solidifying their control over the Senate.
The third path, the Republicans survival path, suggests that Republicans could maintain a 50- or 51-seat majority or more, preventing Democrats from gaining control. The ongoing election remains uncertain, but Democrats are entering voting season with several advantages. One advantage stems from the historical trend of voters voting against the party of the president during midterm elections.
Additionally, President Donald Trump's declining approval ratings and voter discontent over the economy could further benefit Democrats in the upcoming election.
Written by urgent.news from PBS NewsHour's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
