UK Growth Figures, US Inflation and French Protests: Sterling Update

Sterling faces a busy week as UK monthly activity figures and Bank of England speeches could impact expectations for interest rates. France and Spain are experiencing protests, which are adding to political uncertainty and negatively affecting the euro. The International Monetary Fund's latest global economic forecasts have raised concerns over weak growth and rising borrowing costs.

US inflation data is awaited for clues on the Federal Reserve's next move. US dollar strength may prevent an additional interest rate increase by the Fed at their October meeting. Energy markets are also in focus due to renewed tensions in the Middle East and President Trump's recent remarks about an energy ceasefire. The European Central Bank seems to be preparing markets for another interest rate hike, possibly by the end of October.

However, several ECB officials argue that acting sooner could provide a credibility boost to their inflation-fighting efforts. Spain and France are seeing protests, which could increase pressure on the euro as growth risks remain. The Bank of Canada will release three speeches this week, with Governor Tiff Macklem speaking on Wednesday and Friday, and Deputy Governor Carolyn Rogers on Thursday.

Markets will focus on how policymakers interpret the latest economic data. The Canadian dollar may weaken further if participants doubt the BoC will make a rate increase. In Mexico, inflation and vehicle production figures have strengthened the pressure on the peso, potentially leading to further weakening. FrenchEntrée, a French property knowledge provider, has been recommending Moneycorp for over 15 years and continues to support clients with payment-related services.