Brent: Prices hold near $100 as Gulf risks persist – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that ICE Brent is still finding support around the $100/bbl level as geopolitical risks in the Persian Gulf outweigh an improving supply backdrop. They highlight recent attacks on Saudi infrastructure, adjustments in Kuwait and Saudi output and pricing, and lingering vulnerability in European natural gas storage ahead of winter.
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that ICE Brent continues to find support around the $100 per barrel mark, despite improved supply conditions. Geopolitical risks in the Persian Gulf, such as recent attacks on Saudi infrastructure and adjustments in production and pricing, outweigh these supply advancements. The market remains cautious about potential supply disruptions from the region until a US-Iran deal is reached.
The recent targeting of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, now restored but still vulnerable, highlights the ongoing risk. Kuwait is operating at 75% of its pre-war output levels, while Saudi Arabia has reduced the official selling price of its Arab Light into Asia, signaling a more favorable supply outlook. European gas storage, however, remains at risk, with levels at 73% of capacity, below the 5-year average of 88%.
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