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Attijariwafa’s acquisition of Societe Generale likely to be ratings neutral; Ghana’s banking environment healthy – Fitch

According to the UK-based firm, Société Générale Ghana had assets of less than US$1 billion, or around 1.0% of AWB’s total assets and 11% of its total equity, at end-2025, and its small size compared to AWB means the acquisition is unlikely to materially increase AWB’s exposure to the rest of Africa or pressure its capital ratios.

Attijariwafa’s acquisition of Societe Generale likely to be ratings neutral; Ghana’s banking environment healthy – Fitch

Fitch Ratings has assessed that Attijariwafa Bank's (AWB) acquisition of a 55.2% stake in Société Générale's Ghana subsidiary is likely to be ratings neutral for AWB. Société Générale Ghana's assets were below US$1 billion, representing only 1.0% of AWB's total assets and 11% of its equity at the end of 2025. The acquisition is not expected to materially increase AWB's exposure to the rest of Africa or pressure its capital ratios due to AWB's dominant size.

Fitch projects that the subsidiary will contribute modestly to AWB's net income, accounting for approximately 3% of AWB's net income in 2025. The transaction is anticipated to slightly diversify AWB's earnings base due to Ghana's strong profitability metrics in the banking sector. Pre-tax return on equity and return on assets for Ghanaian banks stood at 22% and 4.3%, respectively, in the first eight months of 2026.

Exposure to the region has decreased to 24% of consolidated assets as of June 2026, down from 26% at the end of 2023. Fitch expects continued growth in Morocco to support the weight of domestic operations, with Moroccan assets growing about 4% in the second half of 2026. The transaction is expected to have no significant impact on AWB's capital ratios, as Société Générale's size and AWB's robust earnings generation are considered favorable.

AWB's internal capital generation is strong, with a half-year 2026 return on equity of 17.5% and a Tier 1 common equity ratio of 10.2% at the end of 2025. The bank retains capital flexibility and could strengthen its position through adjustments to dividends or additional core capital from shareholders. Fitch noted that AWB's exposure to Ghanaian cedi volatility and its impact on regulatory capital ratios should be limited due to the subsidiary's small size.

The Ghanaian banking environment has improved following the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme in 2023, and the transaction occurred amid improving operating conditions for Ghanaian banks. Fitch concluded that macroeconomic conditions are stabilising following the 2024 sovereign debt restructuring.

Written by urgent.news from MyJoyOnline Ghana's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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