Brazil votes in nail-biter polls closely watched by Trump

Brazilians cast their votes in a closely contested election today, pitting incumbent President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva against his 45-year-old son-in-law Flavio Bolsonaro. The outcome will determine whether Brazil follows a rightward political trend championed by US President Donald Trump. Lula, a veteran leftist, is seeking his fourth and final term, warning voters that Brazil's sovereignty is at risk due to Trump's influence.

Bolsonaro, son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, faces a 27-year sentence for attempting a coup during his failed 2022 re-election bid.

Opinion polls indicate neither candidate will secure over 50% in the first round on Sunday, leading to a runoff on October 25. Lula enjoys support in Brazil's impoverished northeast, among low-income voters, Catholics, and women. Bolsonaro leads in the south, among wealthier constituents, and evangelicals. Both candidates suffer from low approval ratings as the deeply polarized nation grapples with crime, inflation, and unemployment.

Lula, who struggled to win re-election in 2022 after a corruption scandal, has repeatedly accused Bolsonaro of being unfit to hold office. Bolsonaro, positioning himself as more moderate, claims Brazilians "can't stand" Lula anymore. Lula's social welfare programs have lifted millions out of poverty, but his legacy is marred by ongoing corruption charges.

Trump has closely monitored the election, expressing concern over potential meddling. Bolsonaro has capitalized on his father's legacy, garnering support from US flags and imagery at his rallies. Indigenous leaders have rallied behind Lula, fearing increased illegal mining and logging if Bolsonaro wins. Bolsonaro's campaign emphasizes fiscal responsibility and crime reduction, appealing to voters frustrated with government spending.