ESPN predicts final score of FSU vs. Virginia in Week 5
Mike Norvell and the FSU Seminoles are hosting Virginia. Here is what ESPN's analytics indicate about the game.
The FSU Seminoles prepare for their second ACC matchup of the season against the Virginia Cavaliers at Tallahassee. The Seminoles, currently at 2-2, are hoping to capitalize on their 34-7 victory over Central Arkansas, which has them positioned at 2-2 on the season. The Cavaliers (3-1) are seen as a formidable opponent, having won their last three games at home, with their lone loss coming in a neutral-site contest against West Virginia.
ESPN analyst Bill Connelly, utilizing his SP+ metrics, predicts a 30-24 victory for Virginia, marking the Seminoles' third loss against a Power Four opponent. Connelly's calculations give Virginia a 65% chance of triumph and suggest they will cover the spread, despite being slight favorites to begin with. Currently ranked No. 53 in SP+ team rankings, FSU boasts an overall rating of 57.8, with standout offensive and defensive performances.
In contrast, Virginia holds the No. 21 spot and enjoys a higher overall rating of 66.5, with impressive offensive and defensive metrics. The highly anticipated game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium, airing on ESPN2. Notable analysts include Jay Alter, Tom Luginbill, and Lauren Sisler.
The 2026 FSU football calendar is packed with matches, including games against New Mexico State, SMU, Alabama, Louisville, Miami, Clemson, Boston College, Pitt, NC State, and Florida.
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- ESPN predicts the remainder of FSU's schedule after Week 4 sports.yahoo.com
