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Euronews explains: What would a US diesel export ban mean to European countries?

The EU has deepened energy ties with the US while seeking to reduce its exposure to geopolitical shocks. Yet US plans to limit diesel exports expose how quickly commercial dependence can become a strategic vulnerability.

A potential US ban on diesel exports could significantly impact European countries, despite not immediately causing fuel shortages. Higher prices would likely result, forcing governments to intervene, coinciding with the ongoing energy crisis. Europe's reliance on US diesel has increased since Russian supplies were lost, with the US supplying about 180,000 barrels per day (b/d) of the EU's 580,000 b/d of diesel imports this year, up from 17% in 2025.

In North-West Europe, US supplies account for around 57% of diesel imports, compared to 37% last year. France, the UK, Italy, Spain, and Portugal are particularly vulnerable, with France importing about 36% of its diesel from the US. Diesel is among Europe's most heavily stored oil products, which could mitigate immediate disruptions, but the ban's long-term effects could be severe.

Europe lacks obvious replacements for US diesel, with India being the only credible substitute, whose exports have already fallen dramatically. China and South Korea cannot realistically fill the gap. This highlights Europe's energy security weaknesses, suggesting a need for larger strategic stocks, more resilient refining capacity, and better coordination mechanisms for fuel supplies during crises.

Written by urgent.news from Euronews's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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