SONDAGE EXCLUSIF 2027. Face à Le Pen, Mélenchon et Philippe au duel, Glucksmann garde la tête hors de l’eau

Paris — In an exclusive Cluster 17 poll conducted between September 15 and 16, Marine Le Pen appears to be the clear frontrunner with 30-31% of the vote. As the race for the second place tightens, both Edouard Philippe (Horizons) and Jean-Luc Mélenchon (LFI) are neck and neck, with no clear favorite. In the first scenario tested, former Housing Minister Gabriel Attal (Renaissance) comes in second with 19% of the vote, tying with Jean-Luc Mélenchon and showing slight improvement from recent September surveys.

Raphaël Glucksmann, the current favorite among the Insoumis, secures 12% of the vote. If Edouard Philippe steps aside for Gabriel Attal, Mélenchon would comfortably qualify with 20% of the votes, followed by Glucksmann at 14%, and Philippe at 13.5%. Social democrat Raphaël Glucksmann manages to stay afloat amidst the three-way battle between the dominant left, right, and RN camps, and even manages to slightly improve.

However, he is unlikely to secure a spot in the final showdown. Despite months of campaigning, incumbent French President Emmanuel Macron (RPR) fails to make any significant progress, pulling in 7.5-9.5% of the votes. A handful of other candidates tested by Cluster 17, including right-wing candidate Eric Zemmour (Reconquête), environmentalist Marine Tondelier (Les Ecologistes), nationalist Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (Debout la France), and Socialist Fabien Roussel (PCF), manage to gather between 2.5 and 3.5% of the votes.