This year’s El Nino-driven heat could cause nearly half a million more deaths, group says

BENGALURU, India — This year's intense El Nino and record global temperatures, combined with droughts, wildfires, and dwindling water supplies, could result in nearly 451,000 additional deaths worldwide by the conclusion of February, according to a research report unveiled on Wednesday by the Climate Impact Lab, based at the University of Chicago.

The alarming forecast by the group indicates that approximately 451,000 more heat-related fatalities between June and the end of February could be linked to El Nino as opposed to the typical number of heat deaths in a regular year. The group asserts that the highest impact will be felt in poorer nations grappling with food shortages and escalating energy expenses, partly because of climate change and the aftermath of the conflict in Iran.

Michael Greenstone, a co-founder of the Climate Impact Lab and co-author of the study, stated that the heat danger is likely to persist well beyond February — even though this El Nino is projected to conclude by then. He emphasized that the consequences of the weather phenomenon may continue to be felt throughout the next summer. The research, Greenstone explained, demonstrates that heat poses the greatest threat in areas that are already hot and relatively vulnerable.