ESPN predicts the remainder of FSU football's schedule after Week 3
ESPN’s Matchup Predictor forecasts how Florida State’s final nine games could play out as the Seminoles try to recover from a 1-2 start.
ESPN's updated projections still indicate a chance for Florida State Seminoles to secure bowl eligibility after their Week 3 losses. The Seminoles enter Week 4 with a 1-2 record and a 0-1 ACC standing after consecutive defeats to SMU Mustangs and Alabama Crimson Tide. With nine games remaining, including seven ACC matches and a season finale against Florida Gators, a hypothetical perfect outcome would yield a 6-6 season, marking a marginal improvement from the earlier 5-7 projection.
The upcoming fixtures include:
1. Sept. 26 vs. Central Arkansas: ESPN predicts a Florida State win with a 99% probability, resulting in a 2-2 record.
2. Oct. 3 vs. Virginia: The Seminoles are favored with a 53.2% win probability, giving them a 3-2 record. Virginia, once favored, now presents a more balanced contest.
3. Oct. 9 at Louisville: A significant shift occurs as FSU faces Louisville, the ACC's stronger team, with only a 25.9% win probability, leading to a 3-3 record.
4. Oct. 17 at Miami: With Miami emerging as a top team, FSU's win chance drops to 8.3%, resulting in a 3-4 record.
5. Oct. 31 vs. Clemson: The Clemson game shows the most surprising projection, with Florida State favored at 64.8%, and the Seminoles projected to have a 4-4 record.
6. Nov. 7 at Boston College: A home game against Boston College presents a 78.7% win probability for Florida State, improving their record to 5-4.
7. Nov. 13 at Pitt: FSU's next challenge includes a 26.3% win probability in a Friday night game against Pitt, presenting another significant hurdle as the team struggles away from Tallahassee.
8. Nov. 21 vs. NC State: This late-November matchup could have postseason implications, with Florida State projected to have a 73.1% win probability, making it a crucial game if FSU aims to secure a bowl appearance.
9. Nov. 27 vs. Florida: Although the rivalry returns to Tallahassee, ESPN still favors Florida with a 30.5% win probability, making it an uncertain final game that could determine bowl eligibility.
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