Three keys that can trigger rises or falls of more than 20% on the Stock Exchange
A very small number of factors can tip the balance of the markets, in stock market terms, towards one extreme or the other. Their behavior determines whether the most bullish or the most bearish forecasts materialize, with variations in both cases of more than 20%.
UBS analysts have expressed confidence in the global stock market, citing a strengthening worldwide profit cycle driven by improved manufacturing activity and solid investment in artificial intelligence. They forecast further increases in global equities, with a base scenario predicting the MSCI All Country World Index to reach 1,460 points by the end of the year and 1,510 points by June 2027.
However, UBS also presents two extreme scenarios, with the bullish one envisioning a surge to 1,670 points and the bearish one a drop to 990 points. The analysts identify three key factors that could significantly impact the markets: AI, geopolitics, and tariffs.
Written by urgent.news from Expansion ES's report — not a translation of it. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
