Negeri Sembilan royal row puts Umno’s credibility on the line, say analysts

On September 17, Negeri Sembilan's chief minister, Ismail Lasim, endorsed a proclamation that removed Tuanku Muhriz Tuanku Munawir as Yang Dipertuan Besar. However, Ismail had previously claimed he had endorsed the proclamation under duress. This has put Umno's credibility on the line, as analysts question how the party can justify its claim of protecting the monarchy while endorsing the proclamation.

Ahmad Zaharuddin Sani Ahmad Sabri, from Global Asia Consulting, highlighted the stark contradiction. Ismail had earlier described the proclamation as invalid, unconstitutional, and unenforceable, while now endorsing it. This reversal has raised questions about Umno's consistency and how the party can justify the change in stance.

Zaharuddin cautioned that this could be damaging for a party that often champions principles, citing Umno Youth chief Dr Akmal Saleh's rejection of Pakatan Harapan for repeatedly testing Umno's principles. He asked how Umno would justify constantly shifting its principles or compass based on the direction of the wind.

The royal row could influence Malay voters in future elections, particularly among Malay voters in the upper-M40 and T20 brackets, who are more likely to scrutinize such inconsistencies. The controversy could create a perception that Umno is directly involved in efforts to remove Tuanku Muhriz, which could hurt Umno nationally as it involves the royal institution.

The issue could resurface during the next general election, with Umno's rivals likely to exploit it by questioning the party's commitment to the monarchy.