El Niño likely to cause wetter and warmer-than-normal autumn
A warmer and wetter-than-normal autumn is in store for the UK, according to the latest Met Office forecasts.
The UK is bracing for a wetter and warmer-than-normal autumn, with the Met Office forecasting a strengthening El Niño to influence stormier conditions. This historic event, expected to peak in November or December, could bring increased chances of flooding alongside the drought relief. An already warming climate, combined with unusually high sea temperatures around the UK, will contribute to above-average temperatures.
While El Niño is a significant factor, other influences may also affect the UK's weather. Recent drought conditions persist, but wetter weather may help recovery efforts. However, weather patterns may shift abruptly, as seen in 2025 when a heatwave was followed by storms and floods. Autumn temperatures are also expected to be warmer than normal, despite global warming trends.
While snowfall is unlikely, colder winters could still occur in late winter, but previous strong El Niño winters have not always brought snow.
Written by urgent.news from BBC News's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.
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