AfD: „Alice Weidel baut Luftschlösser“: Warum ihr Wahlziel von 40 Prozent im Bund unrealistisch ist
Die AfD-Chefin setzt ihrer Partei ein ehrgeiziges Ziel für die nächste Bundestagswahl. Aktuelle Daten zeigen allerdings, wie schwierig der Weg dorthin werden dürfte.
AfD-Chefin Alice Weidel has been setting her sights on a 40% target for the party's share of the vote at the federal level, but opinion researchers believe this may be an unrealistic aspiration. Hermann Binkert, the head of the Meinungsforschungsinstitut Insa, stated that the AfD's current maximum potential lies at around 35%, while current polls show the party at 27-29% nationwide.
The Union is at 20%, with the CDU/CSU party unable to win another federal election. Alice Weidel remains confident in rapidly expanding the party's lead in Sachsen-Anhalt and expects the AfD to emerge as the strongest force in the next Bundestag election with a clear mandate. However, other experts, such as Oliver Lembcke, political scientist Johannes Hillje, and Hermann Binkert, believe that the AfD's 40% target is highly improbable.
They argue that the party would need to expand its voter base significantly and attract a broader range of voters, including those currently supporting other parties, as well as mobilize non-voters and gain additional support from existing parties like the Union.
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