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What the U.S. and Canada’s Trade War Could Mean for Prices

A slew of goods moving between the allied nations are being hit by sweeping tariffs as the conflict intensifies, threatening to raise costs for consumers.

What the U.S. and Canada’s Trade War Could Mean for Prices

The ongoing trade war between the United States and Canada is set to have significant implications for consumers on both sides of the border. The conflict, which intensified after trade talks between the nations broke down last month, has led to retaliatory tariffs on a combined $50 billion worth of goods. The U.S. has imposed 50% tariffs on approximately $20 billion worth of Canadian products since August, while Canada has responded with counter tariffs on roughly $20 billion worth of American goods.

Experts predict that these tariffs will primarily affect a small portion of the overall trade between the two countries, comprising around 5% of Canada's $382 billion worth of exports to the U.S. last year and 6% of the U.S.'s $330 billion worth of exports to Canada. While the impact may not be as severe as a prolonged escalation, it will undoubtedly raise prices for consumers.

For American consumers, the tariffs on Canadian products such as dairy and alcohol could lead to higher prices on grocery store shelves. Conversely, Canadian consumers will face increased costs for U.S. imports like milk. Despite the potential financial burden, the retaliatory tariffs have garnered strong support among Canadians.

A recent Ipsos poll found that over 70% of Canadians backed the Carney government's move to enact counter tariffs, with more than 60% agreeing with the decision to walk away from negotiations even if it resulted in higher costs and job losses.

However, a majority of Americans—around 60%—opposed the U.S. implementing additional tariffs on Canada. Experts suggest that Canadian politicians often portray tariffs as a "signal of strength," even if the economic impact on consumers is not the main concern. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's popularity has increased, with 53% of Canadians viewing him positively, partly due to his stance against perceived threats to Canadian sovereignty.

While the trade war may result in some short-term pain for both consumers, the stakes appear to be high for Canadians, who are more willing to endure discomfort in order to stand up against perceived threats to their nation.

Written by urgent.news from Time's reporting — not their text. Machine-written — may contain errors; check the original before relying on it.

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