Pakistan likely to experience above-average temperatures in Sept
KARACHI: Pakistan is likely to experience above-average temperatures and below-normal rainfall in September, with southern Sindh expected to record the largest rainfall deficit, the Met Office said in its monthly outlook. It also warned of possible dengue outbreaks in flood-affected, poorly drained and low-lying urban areas. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s outlook, based on the ensemble…
Pakistan is forecasted to experience hotter-than-usual weather and lower-than-usual precipitation in September, according to the Met Office's monthly outlook. The southern region of Sindh is anticipated to suffer the most significant rainfall shortfall. The forecast, derived from a combination of 10 global seasonal prediction models, predicts below-average rainfall throughout the country.
The most substantial negative rainfall deviations are expected in central and southern Pakistan, especially in southern Sindh. Eastern regions are projected to remain drier, whereas western areas, including Balochistan and southern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, may experience near-normal rainfall. Northwestern regions, particularly Gilgit-Baltistan and parts of northern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, may see above-normal rainfall, leading to a noticeable north-south temperature disparity.
The Met Office anticipates the positive El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) conditions to persist into September. Despite these climatic factors having opposing effects on rainfall, the overall outlook predicts a drier month. Nationwide, temperatures are expected to remain elevated, with the greatest deviations projected over eastern Gilgit-Baltistan and western Balochistan.
The highest probability of increased temperatures is expected over central Punjab, adjacent areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and western Balochistan.
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