Niger: Failed coup exposes junta's weakness — and Russia's influence

In Niger, the recent failed coup exposes the junta's vulnerabilities and Russia's significant influence. The coup attempt erupted in Niamey, with parts of the army briefly seizing Air Base 101 and advancing toward key targets. The government labeled it a mutiny, but Senegalese governance expert Pape Ibrahima Kane declared it an attempted coup, emphasizing the junta's reliance on Russian assistance.

Niger's army has been battling jihadist groups for years, facing daily risks and severe logistical issues. The crisis highlights the junta's dilemma of maintaining loyal forces, as frontline troops feel neglected and mistreated compared to the presidential guard. Russia's Africa Corps has become a crucial security partner for the junta, actively supporting the suppression of the coup attempt.

However, this strategic dependency raises questions about Niger's long-term security and the effectiveness of the Alliance of Sahel States in addressing the underlying issues. The failed coup attempt served as a victory for Tiani's regime but also signals the precarious state of Niger's armed forces, with their loyalty no longer guaranteed amid mounting challenges.